北京大学国际战略研究中心即将举办“崛起中的大国与世界秩序(Rising Powers and the World Order)”国际研讨会。该会已获教育部批准(批文号:教外司【2011】669号)。
会议时间:2011年6月10-11日; 会议地点:北大博雅国际酒店 大学堂4号会议室; 会议工作语言:英语。
该会议拟六个主要议题如下:
议题一:主权与世界秩序 (Sovereignty and World Order)
议题二:联合国、多边主义,及集体安全(United Nations, Multilateralism, and Collective Security)
议题三:国际经济与金融治理(Finance and International Economic Governance)
议题四:全球环境治理与国际合作(International Cooperation on the Environment)
议题五:经济/资源安全(Economics/Resources/Security)
议题六:核武器、军控与联盟(Nuclear Weapons, Arms Control, and Alliances)
欢迎本校教师、本院学生参会。
北京大学国际战略研究中心
题目:"Some thoughts on a peaceful, prosperous and harmonious Northeast Asia with speicial emphasis on inter-Korean relations and ROK-China relations."
主讲人:申珏秀大使
Ambassador of Korea to Japan
Former First Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Korea
J.S.D from Seoul National University
时间:5月10日(周二)15:00-16:30
地点:国际关系学院大楼C105会议室
主持人:北京大学国际战略研究中心副主任 朱锋 教授
附:申珏秀大使简介
Academic Background:
Ambassador Kak-Soo Shin received his bachelor’s and master’s degree in law at Seoul National University (SNU). He studied Japanese at the International Center of Japan’s Keio University in 1983, and then moved to Tokyo University the following year to major in international law. In August 1991, Mr. Shin earned a J.S.D from Seoul National University. Ambassador Shin is a member of the Korean Society of International Law, the Korean Society of International Humanitarian Law, and the American Society of International Law. Ambassador Shin has written many articles on various issues in international law, international organizations, Asian Affairs, inter-Korean relations and North Korea in academic journals. He has also contributed many articles to newspapers and periodicals.
国王学院Geoffrey Till教授(简历见下)将来中心讲座
时间:2011年2月25日星期五 13:00-14:30
地点:国关楼C-201
主题:海事安全
主持人:中心副主任 朱锋教授
欢迎有兴趣的老师和同学参加!
附:Geoffrey Till教授简历
Professor Geoffrey Till (born 1945) is a British naval historian and Professor of Maritime Studies in the Defence Studies Department of King's College London, and Director of the Corbett Centre for Maritime Policy Studies.
His first academic appointments were at the Britannia Royal Naval College, Dartmouth and the Department of Systems Science at the City University, London. In 1983, he was appointed visiting lecturer at King's College London and in 1989, he was appointed professor of history at the Royal Naval College, Greenwich, also teaching at the Open University. On a NATO Defence Fellowship, he was a visiting scholar at the United States Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California. In 1989, Professor Till held the Foundation Chair in Military Affairs at the United States Marine Corps University, Quantico, Virginia.
With the closure of the Royal Naval College, Greenwich, Till moved to the Joint Services Command and Staff College, where he served as the Dean of Academic Studies, a position he help concurrently with his King's College London chair. He was also Head of Department of the Defence Studies Department and Dean of Academic Studies, King's College London, until September 2006, when he received a Fellowship of King's College London.
He has also been Visiting Professor at the Armed Forces University, Taiwan and Senior Visiting Research Fellow at the Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies, Singapore. He is also a Member of Council of the Royal United Services Institute.
He has written extensively on maritime history and strategy. Professor Till has been Reviews Editor for the Journal of Strategic Studies since it was launched in 1978, General Editor of Brassey’s Seapower: Naval Vessels, Weapons Systems and Technology series since 1987, contributing its first volume on modern sea power, and general series editor of the Frank Cass series on naval policy and history.
Published works
Air Power and the Royal Navy, 1914-1945: a historical survey. London [etc.] : Macdonald and Jane's, 1979.
Maritime Strategy and the Nuclear Age by Geoffrey Till, with contributions from John Hattendorf ... [et al.]. London : Macmillan, 1982,1984; New York: St. Martins Press, 1984.
The Sea in Soviet Strategy by Bryan Ranft and Geoffrey Till. London: Macmillan, 1983; 1989.
The Future of British Sea Power, edited by Geoffrey Till. London: Macmillan, 1984.
The Strategy of Seapower by Stephen Roskill with Geoffrey Till editor and author of the revision. London: John Goodchild, 1986.
Modern Sea Power: An Introduction London: Brassey's Defence, 1987.
Britain and NATO's Northern Flank, edited by Geoffrey Till. Basingstoke: Macmillan, 1988.
East-West Relations in the 1990s: The Naval Dimension, edited by John Pay and Geoffrey Till. London: Pinter, 1990.
British Naval Documents 1204-1960 eds. J. B. Hattendorf, R.J.B. Knight, A. W. H. Pearsall, N. A. M. Rodger, G. Till, Capt. A. B. Sainsbury, Navy Records Society (1993).
Coastal Forces by Barry Clarke, Jurgen Fielitz & Malcolm Touchin; edited by Geoffrey Till; with a foreword by Sir Julian Oswald. London: Brassey's (UK), 1994.
Sea Power: Theory and Practice, edited by Geoffrey Till. London: Frank cass, 1994.
Amphibious Operations: A Collection of Papers by Geoffrey Till, Mark J. Grove and Theo Farrell. Camberley: Strategic and Combat Studies Institute, 1997.
Challenges of High Command in the Twentieth Century, edited by Gary Sheffield and Geoffrey Till. Camberley: Strategic and Combat Studies Institute, 2000; Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003.
Seapower at the Millennium, edited by Geoffrey Till. Stroud: Sutton, 2001.
Seapower: A Guide for the Twenty-First Century. London: Frank Cass, 2004.
The Development of British Naval Thinking: Essays in Memory of Bryan Ranft, edited by Geoffrey Till. London: Routledge, 2006.
Globalisation and Defence in the Asia-Pacific, edited by Geoffrey Till, Emrys Chew, and Joshua Ho. London: Routledge, 2007.
美国斯坦福大学国际安全与合作中心资深研究员Tom Fingar博士(简历见下)将来中心座谈
时间:2010年9月14日下午 16:15-17:45
地点:国关楼C-105
主谈题目:“China’s Response to the Nuclear Posture Review"
主持人:中心常务副主任 袁明教授
欢迎有兴趣的老师和同学参加
Dr. Thomas Fingar is the Oksenberg/Rohlen Distinguished Fellow.
In 2009, he was the Payne Distinguished Lecturer in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University.
From May 2005 through December 2008, he served as the first Deputy Director of National Intelligence for Analysis and,
concurrently, as Chairman of the National Intelligence Council.
Dr. Fingar served previously as Assistant Secretary of the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary (2001-2003), Deputy Assistant Secretary for Analysis (1994-2000), Director of the Office of Analysis for East Asia and the Pacific (1989-1994), and Chief of the China Division (1986-1989). Between 1975 and 1986 he held a number of positions at Stanford University, including Senior Research Associate in the Center for International Security and Arms Control. Dr. Fingar is a graduate of Cornell University (A.B. in Government and History, 1968), and Stanford University (M.A., 1969 and Ph.D., 1977 both in Political Science).
D-Chinese on NPR 8-10-10.pdf
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说明:
1. 本期研究课题一至三题为个人研究项目,四至六题为小组研究项目;
2. 课题研究小组的组成,以一位负责人牵头,若干研究人员参加为宜;
3. 四至六题的研究经费比一般课题的研究经费增加一倍。
4. 本期课题申请期限为:2010年5月14-24日。
5. 课题申请请与本中心联系:E-mail CISS@pku.edu.cn zhangdee@hotmail.com
课题一:日本政治之未来发展趋势
经历了2009年9月的政权更替以后,日本政局进入新一轮的分化组合之中。初次执政的民主党政权半年后支持率骤然下降一半多。2010年7月的参议院选举前,日本面临新党林立的局面。本课题将探讨的问题包括:未来日本政治发展趋势如何?能否出现较为稳定的政治体制?主要影响因素为何?自民党和民主党将有可能做哪些调整?对日本的对内对外政策将产生何种影响?
什叶派伊斯兰教为伊朗国教。什叶派伊斯兰教是伊朗政治中最为重要的因素之一,这种重要性突出地体现在什叶派宗教学者在伊朗政治体制中所拥有的权力及其在伊朗民众中巨大的影响力。本课题试图通过分析什叶派宗教学者与伊朗政治之间的关系,为更进一步地理解伊朗政治体制和国内决策机制提供参考。
课题三:苏丹安全形势对中国石油利益的影响
2010年4月,苏丹举行了24年来首次全国性的“民主”选举;2010年7月,苏丹政府将在达尔富尔地区举行全民公决,以便决定达尔富尔三州是继续保持现在隶属于中央政府的行政格局还是三州合并成一个具有较大“自治权”的单独行政区;2011年1月,南部苏丹居民将举行全民投票,以决定南部苏丹是继续留在苏丹还是选择独立。苏丹政局在保持相对稳定数年之后面临新的挑战。本课题旨在研究苏丹安全形势对中国在苏丹石油利益所可能产生的影响。
课题四:从G20看全球合作机制的发展趋势
国际金融危机发生以来G20的运行机制:所含国家、欧盟、世界银行、IMF等对G20的基本态度及期待值;其他中小国家对G20的态度;各国舆论和学术界对它发展前景的期待和分析;G20同其他现行国际金融机制的关系;G8在未来10-15年内会衰亡吗?它同G20的关系如何发展?G20内部会形成哪些核心国家?它们之间的关系如何?G20的功能会扩大到世界政治、安全、非传统安全等更广泛的议题吗?它的内部结构和运行机制会发生什么变化?它对全球治理和合作机制会产生什么影响?
课题五:中国周边若干重要国家的国内政局预测及我相关对策
未来10-15年内,我国周边一些国家的国内政局可能发生剧烈而深刻的变化。朝鲜面临着最高领导层更替的严峻考验;缅甸军政权的转轨和民选政府的出现似乎只是时间问题;巴基斯坦、阿富汗的安全形势堪忧;越南政治改革的动向,泰国、印尼、马来西亚、孟加拉等国的民主化问题,中亚各国的政治稳定,均是值得关注的问题。其中哪些国家的政局变化可能趋于激烈并对我周边安全产生严重影响?我国应有何种应对预案?
课题六:全球人口发展趋势及其对世界政治的影响
白种人在世界总人口的比例,从100年前的25%左右下降到今天的10%左右,足以说明欧美发达国家在世界政治中影响下降的趋势不可逆转;日本和俄罗斯人口缩减的趋势,预示着其国力难以复苏;俄罗斯境内穆斯林人口据信已达20%左右,对其社会团结稳定形成冲击;欧洲人口老龄化、伊斯兰国家人口年轻化,分别对它们的经济和政治产生重要影响;美国新移民保持稳定增长,使其劳动力供应相对充足,社会活力得以保持,但也引起萨缪尔·亨廷顿等保守思想家和政治家对社会凝聚力的忧虑。本报告应对全球各大地区和主要国家人口发展趋势(包括增减、年龄结构、种族和宗教成分、移民等指标)做出预测,并分析其对世界政治产生的深远影响。